BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 02:00 on Tuesday, January 2, 2024
Arkansas State 2023 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.17 |
26.70 |
26.70 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
386.24 |
379.93 |
379.93 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.64 |
5.70 |
5.70 (+0.00) |
Arkansas State 2023 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
22.00 |
20.08 (-1.92) |
27.45 |
22.01 (-5.44) |
22.01 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
291.55 |
282.02 (-9.53) |
343.82 |
313.60 (-30.21) |
313.60 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
4.67 |
4.50 (-0.16) |
5.85 |
5.41 (-0.44) |
5.41 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Raw
| 2023 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2023 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
34.00 |
38.69 (+4.69) |
33.36 |
34.74 (+1.38) |
34.74 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
432.64 |
474.54 (+41.90) |
430.09 |
431.77 (+1.68) |
431.77 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
6.16 |
6.62 (+0.46) |
6.19 |
6.28 (+0.09) |
6.28 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +2.7 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2023-09-02 |
@Oklahoma |
14.06 |
60.04 |
+45.98 |
74.10 |
0.10% |
L 0-73 |
0-1 |
| 2023-09-09 |
Memphis |
31.34 |
43.07 |
+11.73 |
74.41 |
31.18% |
L 3-37 |
0-2 |
| 2023-09-16 |
Stony Brook |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 31-7 |
1-2 |
| 2023-09-23 |
Southern Mississippi |
37.61 |
27.16 |
-10.45 |
64.77 |
66.76% |
W 44-37 |
2-2 |
| 2023-09-30 |
@UMass |
38.81 |
31.12 |
-7.69 |
69.93 |
62.34% |
W 52-28 |
3-2 |
| 2023-10-07 |
@Troy |
12.59 |
34.71 |
+22.12 |
47.29 |
14.52% |
L 3-37 |
3-3 |
| 2023-10-21 |
Coastal Carolina |
26.78 |
29.10 |
+2.32 |
55.88 |
46.27% |
L 17-27 |
3-4 |
| 2023-10-28 |
@Louisiana Monroe |
32.31 |
20.11 |
-12.20 |
52.42 |
69.57% |
W 34-24 |
4-4 |
| 2023-11-04 |
Louisiana |
32.62 |
34.18 |
+1.56 |
66.79 |
47.49% |
W 37-17 |
5-4 |
| 2023-11-11 |
@South Alabama |
20.66 |
37.10 |
+16.43 |
57.76 |
23.64% |
L 14-21 |
5-5 |
| 2023-11-18 |
Texas State |
36.23 |
35.56 |
-0.67 |
71.79 |
51.08% |
W 77-31 |
6-5 |
| 2023-11-25 |
@Marshall |
26.33 |
30.42 |
+4.09 |
56.75 |
43.44% |
L 21-35 |
6-6 |
| Postseason |
|---|
| 2023-12-23 |
@Northern Illinois |
26.97 |
27.60 |
+0.62 |
54.57 |
49.00% |
L 19-21 |
6-7 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 6-7 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-12 |
0.05% |
| 2-11 |
0.83% |
| 3-10 |
3.91% |
| 4-9 |
11.32% |
| 5-8 |
20.39% |
| 6-7 |
25.14% |
| 7-6 |
21.04% |
| 8-5 |
11.69% |
| 9-4 |
4.48% |
| 10-3 |
1.00% |
| 11-2 |
0.14% |
| 12-1 |
0.01% |